![]() ![]() Please note that NFL odds for Week 1 for the above games are also consensus spreads, meaning value-minded bettors can find even better numbers by taking a few extra minutes to shop for the best lines. So why not shade NFL spreads for Week 1 knowing that the public wants no part of last year's cellar-dwellers and force them to take the favorites at even worse prices?Īs of the time of writing, here are the NFL spread picks for Week 1 that currently match this historically-profitable strategy: Spoiler alert: Sportsbooks are smart and oddsmakers understand the tendencies of the majority of bettors. ![]() This ATS record is even better if we look just at Week 1, improving to 81-54-2 (60%) ATS. Since the start of the 2005 NFL season, teams that won six or fewer games the previous year are 151-106-5 (58.8%) against-the-spread (ATS) as underdogs in Weeks 1-2 of a new season. ![]()
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